St. Pauli II vs TuS Celle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
LUN
2 - 0
STP
69%
19%
13%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2000 |
STP
2 - 2
CLO
28%
26%
46%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
STP
2 - 2
ENO
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2000 |
WSV
1 - 2
STP
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
STP
3 - 1
VFB
39%
25%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
TuS Celle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
ENO
4 - 0
CEL
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
CEL
0 - 2
WSV
32%
26%
41%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
EIN
0 - 1
CEL
48%
25%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
VFB
1 - 1
CEL
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
CEL
3 - 2
LUB
23%
24%
52%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +2 |