St. Pauli II vs Bergedorf 85 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
OSN
1 - 4
STP
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
STP
2 - 1
ENO
34%
26%
40%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
STP
3 - 0
MEP
31%
28%
41%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
OBE
1 - 1
STP
66%
19%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
HOL
3 - 2
STP
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bergedorf 85
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
OSS
1 - 0
BER
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
BER
0 - 3
HAN
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
BER
1 - 4
WOL
17%
24%
60%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
AHA
2 - 4
BER
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
OBE
0 - 3
BER
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |