UEFA Youth League Eliminatorias 1/64
Global 1-4
St Patrick's U19 vs Crvena Zvezda U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
STP
6 - 1
DER
48%
24%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
STP
2 - 1
GAL
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SHE
4 - 1
STP
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
STP
5 - 0
DUN
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SLR
0 - 2
STP
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
OFK
1 - 4
CRV
9%
16%
74%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CRV
4 - 1
BTP
79%
14%
8%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
RDB
2 - 5
CRV
19%
22%
59%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CRV
3 - 2
KKZ
84%
11%
5%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
IMT
1 - 8
CRV
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |