St Patrick's vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
9º
3º
11
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 1
STP
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
STP
1 - 0
SHE
53%
26%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
DRO
2 - 1
STP
18%
24%
58%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
STP
4 - 1
DER
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
UCD
1 - 3
STP
13%
22%
66%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
UCD
2 - 1
SLR
18%
25%
57%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
SHR
4 - 0
UCD
81%
13%
5%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 1
UCD
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
UCD
1 - 3
STP
13%
22%
66%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
DRO
3 - 1
UCD
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |