St Patrick's vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
FIN
1 - 2
STP
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
UCD
3 - 1
STP
28%
24%
48%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
STP
2 - 1
SLR
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
STP
2 - 1
BRW
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
CAO
0 - 1
STP
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
SLR
4 - 0
UCD
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
UCD
0 - 5
DUN
7%
19%
74%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
DUN
3 - 0
UCD
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
UCD
3 - 1
STP
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
BOH
10 - 1
UCD
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |