St Patrick's vs Shelbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
8º
5º
54
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 61 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 57 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 56 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 56 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 51 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 50 |
7º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 43 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 37 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 28 |
10º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 61% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
9.5% | 33.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
STP
0 - 1
DER
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SHR
2 - 2
STP
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
SLR
1 - 0
STP
24%
28%
49%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
STP
1 - 0
DRO
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SHE
1 - 0
STP
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Shelbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
SHE
1 - 0
WAT
42%
26%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SHE
1 - 1
DRO
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
DER
1 - 1
SHE
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 0
SHE
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SHE
1 - 0
STP
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |