UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 3-3
St Patrick's vs HNK Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
RIJ
3 - 2
STP
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
LON
1 - 1
STP
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2002 |
DUN
0 - 1
STP
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2002 |
STP
2 - 0
BOH
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2002 |
STP
1 - 0
SHR
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
RIJ
3 - 2
STP
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
RIJ
3 - 2
HDR
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
KIV
2 - 0
RIJ
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
RIJ
2 - 1
CAK
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
DZG
2 - 3
RIJ
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |