St Patrick's vs Limerick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
STP
3 - 1
BOH
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
DER
0 - 3
STP
27%
28%
46%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
STP
0 - 2
DUN
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
CAO
1 - 1
STP
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BRW
1 - 0
STP
13%
22%
65%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Limerick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
LIM
1 - 2
DRO
35%
26%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
BRW
3 - 1
LIM
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LON
1 - 0
LIM
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LIM
0 - 1
CAO
23%
28%
49%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
BOH
2 - 1
LIM
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -2 |