St Patrick's vs Limerick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
STP
3 - 2
UCD
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
CAO
1 - 1
STP
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SLR
0 - 1
STP
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
STP
2 - 1
DUN
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
CAO
4 - 2
STP
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Limerick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 1
LIM
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
CAO
4 - 0
LIM
45%
24%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
LIM
0 - 0
BRW
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
DER
6 - 0
LIM
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
LIM
1 - 0
SHE
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |