Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 1-5
St Patrick's vs Karpaty Lviv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
KPT
2 - 0
STP
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
SLR
0 - 0
STP
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
STP
2 - 0
SHA
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
SHA
2 - 1
STP
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
STP
2 - 2
DUN
55%
24%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Karpaty Lviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
KPT
0 - 2
VOR
49%
27%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
KPT
2 - 0
STP
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
SHA
2 - 1
KPT
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
KPT
1 - 1
CHO
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
ILL
1 - 0
KPT
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |