UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 3-3
St Patrick's vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
GEN
2 - 0
STP
62%
21%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2002 |
STP
1 - 0
RIJ
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
RIJ
3 - 2
STP
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
LON
1 - 1
STP
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2002 |
DUN
0 - 1
STP
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
GEN
2 - 0
STP
62%
21%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
GEN
3 - 5
MOL
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
SDL
0 - 1
GEN
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
GEN
3 - 0
CHA
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
LOM
2 - 4
GEN
38%
25%
38%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |