Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 2-2
St Patrick's vs Jeunesse d'Esch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 0
STP
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
STP
0 - 2
SHR
43%
27%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
BOH
5 - 1
STP
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
STP
8 - 0
PIR
91%
8%
2%
|
71 | 9 | 62 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
STP
4 - 0
FIN
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Jeunesse d'Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 2
JEU
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
JEU
6 - 4
LXC
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
JEU
5 - 0
RAC
56%
23%
22%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
UNA
2 - 1
JEU
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
JEU
1 - 1
VIC
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |