St Patrick's vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
8º
5º
24
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 61 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 57 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 56 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 56 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 51 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 50 |
7º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 43 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 37 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 28 |
10º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
9.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
STP
2 - 1
GAL
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
BRW
0 - 3
STP
15%
21%
65%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
BOH
2 - 2
STP
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
STP
1 - 2
SHE
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
STP
0 - 1
DER
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 0
DER
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 0
DUN
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
SHR
40%
28%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
WAT
4 - 1
DUN
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
DRO
2 - 1
DUN
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |