St Patrick's vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
8º
3º
26
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
WAT
3 - 1
STP
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
DER
2 - 1
STP
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
STP
0 - 1
BOH
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 1
STP
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
SHR
3 - 1
STP
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 5
SLR
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
GAL
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
SHR
1 - 1
DUN
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 0
BOH
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 2
DRO
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |