St Patrick's vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
64.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
FIN
3 - 2
STP
36%
29%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CAO
1 - 2
STP
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
STP
2 - 0
SHE
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
DER
0 - 0
STP
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
STP
0 - 0
SLR
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
ARS
3 - 0
DUN
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
WAT
1 - 0
DUN
16%
23%
61%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
DUN
1 - 2
MFK
35%
24%
41%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
DER
1 - 2
DUN
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
DUN
0 - 0
BOH
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |