St Patrick's vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
62.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
BOH
1 - 0
STP
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
WAT
2 - 0
STP
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
STP
0 - 1
SHR
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
UCD
1 - 1
STP
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
STP
0 - 0
FIN
66%
21%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 0
CAO
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
DER
0 - 2
DUN
15%
23%
63%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
DUN
4 - 0
WAT
73%
17%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
SHR
0 - 0
DUN
26%
24%
50%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 1
UCD
79%
15%
7%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |