St Patrick's vs Drogheda United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
8º
5º
32
9º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 61 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 57 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 56 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 56 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 51 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 50 |
7º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 43 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 37 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 28 |
10º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
9.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SHE
1 - 0
STP
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
DER
3 - 1
STP
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
STP
1 - 1
WAT
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 0
STP
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
STP
2 - 1
SHR
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Drogheda United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
SHR
4 - 0
DRO
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
DRO
3 - 1
SLR
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BOH
1 - 0
DRO
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
DRO
2 - 2
DER
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
DRO
2 - 2
SHE
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |