St Patrick's vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
35.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
BOH
3 - 1
STP
68%
21%
12%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
STP
2 - 0
BRW
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 0
STP
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
STP
0 - 2
SLR
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
BRW
0 - 1
STP
37%
28%
36%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
DER
1 - 2
SLR
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
GAL
3 - 1
DER
31%
29%
40%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
DER
0 - 1
SHR
48%
28%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
CAO
2 - 0
DER
40%
30%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
DER
0 - 1
BOH
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |