St Patrick's vs Bohemian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
9º
3º
58
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
SLR
2 - 1
STP
35%
28%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
5 - 0
STP
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
STP
1 - 0
SHE
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
STP
1 - 1
DER
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 2
STP
39%
24%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bohemian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
BOH
3 - 1
DRO
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
SHE
1 - 0
BOH
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
BOH
2 - 1
DUN
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
CAO
1 - 2
BOH
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
WEX
1 - 2
BOH
23%
23%
55%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |