St. Neots Town vs Alvechurch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Neots Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
LEI
2 - 0
STN
64%
19%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
STN
2 - 0
LEI
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +3 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
STN
1 - 0
ROY
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
STN
0 - 1
STI
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
BED
1 - 0
STN
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Alvechurch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
ALV
1 - 0
HAL
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
STR
0 - 1
ALV
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
BAN
3 - 1
ALV
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
ALV
0 - 3
TAM
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
RED
4 - 2
ALV
36%
23%
42%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |