Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-0
St. Mirren vs Tromsø IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
ABE
2 - 0
STM
56%
24%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
HIB
1 - 1
STM
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
STM
2 - 1
GRE
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
DUN
0 - 2
STM
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1987 |
STM
0 - 1
STJ
75%
16%
10%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
TRO
1 - 1
IKS
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
LSK
3 - 0
TRO
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
TRO
0 - 0
MOS
45%
26%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
MFK
2 - 1
TRO
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1987 |
TRO
2 - 0
HAM
58%
23%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |