St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
30.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
2º
10º
9º
2
9º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 71 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 61 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 61 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 46 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 45 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 45 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 45 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 44 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
5 | 36 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
|
11º
|
2 | 36 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 36 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 24 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
17% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
83% | 83.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 2
STM
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STM
0 - 3
CEL
22%
23%
55%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
STM
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
BBS
3 - 1
STM
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 1
STM
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 1
HIB
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 1
FCK
28%
24%
48%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ABE
2 - 0
KIL
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 0
KIL
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MHE
1 - 0
KIL
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |