St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
40.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
2º
10º
9º
1
6º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 71 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 61 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 61 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 46 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 45 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 45 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 45 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
1 | 44 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
5 | 36 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 36 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 36 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 24 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
17% | 46.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
83% | 53.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
STM
2 - 2
KIL
40%
29%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 2
STM
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STM
0 - 3
CEL
22%
23%
55%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
STM
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
BBS
3 - 1
STM
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 0
HOM
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HOM
0 - 1
DUN
51%
24%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
HOM
0 - 1
VKP
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MHE
3 - 1
HOM
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
VKP
1 - 0
HOM
58%
22%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |