Europa League 1/16
Global 4-5
St. Mirren vs Hammarby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
MHE
3 - 1
STM
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
STM
2 - 1
GLA
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
HIF
3 - 3
STM
56%
20%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
HOM
3 - 0
STM
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
STM
1 - 0
DUN
60%
21%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
HIF
3 - 3
STM
56%
20%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
TRE
2 - 3
HIF
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
HIF
4 - 0
OFK
79%
13%
9%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
HIF
1 - 1
GÖT
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
OFK
1 - 3
HIF
35%
24%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |