St. Mirren vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
DUN
0 - 2
STM
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 1
STM
62%
20%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
STM
0 - 3
QOS
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
STM
1 - 1
GRE
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 1
STM
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 0
FAL
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
FAL
1 - 1
AYR
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
RAI
1 - 4
FAL
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
FAL
1 - 2
HIB
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 1
FAL
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |