St. Mirren vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
STE
1 - 1
STM
13%
18%
69%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
STM
1 - 1
DUN
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 0
STM
51%
22%
27%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 3
STM
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
STM
2 - 0
HAM
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 3
HIB
16%
22%
63%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ICT
1 - 0
DUN
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 1
GRE
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
QOS
2 - 1
DUN
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 1
FAL
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |