St. Mirren vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GLA
3 - 1
STM
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
STM
4 - 2
KIL
36%
30%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
STM
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
STM
0 - 2
HOM
33%
29%
38%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
STM
0 - 3
STJ
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 2
HOM
28%
28%
44%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 0
DUN
78%
16%
6%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
STM
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 2
MHE
24%
25%
50%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
STJ
3 - 1
DUN
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |