St. Mirren vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
54.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
2º
10º
9º
15
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
15 | 71 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 61 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 61 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 46 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 45 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 45 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 45 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 44 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
5 | 36 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 36 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 36 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 24 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
17% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
83% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
STM
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
BBS
3 - 1
STM
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 1
STM
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
STM
1 - 1
BBS
23%
23%
54%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
STM
3 - 0
HIB
33%
27%
41%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 1
HIB
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HIB
0 - 2
CEL
33%
24%
43%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 0
KIL
66%
20%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CHL
1 - 4
CEL
73%
17%
11%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
MAC
3 - 4
CEL
91%
7%
2%
|
82 | 100 | 18 | 0 |