St. Michael vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
75.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2016 |
TRE
2 - 0
MIC
80%
14%
6%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
WOL
1 - 0
MIC
83%
12%
5%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MIC
1 - 2
GLO
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
SPI
4 - 0
MIC
66%
19%
15%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MIC
0 - 1
LEN
45%
24%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
FLC
2 - 2
GLO
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
SPI
1 - 3
FLC
19%
21%
60%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FLC
2 - 1
LEN
83%
12%
6%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
KUH
0 - 1
FLC
17%
18%
65%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FLC
2 - 1
KMD
69%
19%
13%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |