St. Martin im Muhlreis vs Hogo Wels II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
13º
5º
10
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Martin im Muhlreis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
WEA
2 - 1
STM
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
STM
0 - 1
PWD
43%
21%
36%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
STM
3 - 0
ASV
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
UNP
1 - 0
STM
26%
23%
52%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
STM
0 - 4
SPG
81%
12%
6%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Hogo Wels II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
WEL
1 - 4
SBL
85%
9%
5%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SVF
2 - 1
WEL
61%
18%
21%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WEL
0 - 0
BAD
52%
20%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SPG
2 - 0
WEL
55%
21%
25%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
UNP
0 - 2
WEL
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |