St. Martin im Muhlreis vs Union Mondsee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
12.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
9º
5º
38
6º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 96.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Martin im Muhlreis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 0
STM
26%
23%
51%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
STA
0 - 11
STM
11%
17%
72%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
STM
1 - 1
GRU
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
GUR
3 - 2
STM
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
STM
3 - 1
SPG
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Union Mondsee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
UMA
1 - 1
UNI
38%
23%
39%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SVZ
3 - 0
UMA
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
UMA
0 - 2
SVW
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
PWD
4 - 2
UMA
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
UMA
2 - 3
ASV
51%
21%
28%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |