St. Martin im Muhlreis vs Ostermiething analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
39.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
13º
5º
45
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Martin im Muhlreis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
GRU
3 - 1
STM
51%
22%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SBL
1 - 0
STM
25%
21%
54%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
STM
4 - 1
SVF
62%
18%
20%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
BAD
3 - 1
STM
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
STM
2 - 0
SPG
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ostermiething
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
OST
6 - 2
SBL
68%
16%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SVF
1 - 4
OST
34%
21%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
OST
3 - 1
BAD
44%
21%
36%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SPG
2 - 2
OST
25%
20%
55%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
OST
1 - 2
OED
21%
19%
60%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |