St. Margrethen vs Widnau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
43.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Margrethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
UST
1 - 2
MAR
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
UZW
20%
20%
61%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +3 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GOS
1 - 0
MAR
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 0
MAR
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MEL
3 - 3
MAR
61%
19%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
WIL
4 - 0
WID
47%
21%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
WID
1 - 0
KRE
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
WID
5 - 0
UST
36%
22%
42%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +3 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
UZW
5 - 2
WID
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
WID
1 - 0
GOS
66%
17%
17%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |