St. Margrethen vs Freienbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
72%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Margrethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
FCS
2 - 1
MAR
50%
21%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
FRA
13%
16%
72%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 3
WIL
24%
21%
56%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
UZW
5 - 1
MAR
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 4
RUT
14%
17%
69%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
FRE
2 - 2
KRE
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FRE
6 - 1
FCS
89%
7%
4%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FRE
3 - 2
FRA
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 2
FRE
34%
21%
45%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FRE
3 - 3
UZW
77%
13%
10%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |