St. Margrethen vs Freienbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
67.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Margrethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
KRE
11%
15%
75%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
FRE
17%
18%
65%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
AMR
2 - 3
MAR
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
ALT
42%
22%
36%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
SIR
4 - 2
MAR
77%
15%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 3
SEE
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
FRE
2 - 2
GOS
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
FRA
2 - 2
FRE
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
KRE
3 - 3
FRE
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
FRE
4 - 1
AMR
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |