St. Margarethen vs Wacker Innsbruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
80.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.6%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.6%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
STI
1 - 3
STM
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
STM
2 - 4
NEU
22%
22%
56%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
DRA
1 - 1
STM
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
STM
1 - 1
JEN
46%
24%
31%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
STM
66%
20%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Wacker Innsbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
STR
1 - 1
WIN
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
WIN
0 - 5
RIE
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MAT
1 - 1
WIN
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
WIN
2 - 2
AWM
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
WIE
0 - 0
WIN
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |