St. Margarethen vs Purbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
STM
59%
22%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
JEN
0 - 1
STM
68%
19%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
STM
0 - 2
DEU
61%
20%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
STM
2 - 2
PIN
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
EBE
4 - 0
STM
52%
22%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
PUR
0 - 1
OBE
29%
26%
45%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
DRA
2 - 5
PUR
49%
23%
29%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PUR
5 - 0
MAR
52%
23%
26%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
STG
0 - 7
PUR
23%
22%
55%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
PUR
0 - 0
JEN
42%
25%
33%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |