St. Margarethen vs Oberwart / Rotenturm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
59.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
16º
7º
74
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
70% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
72.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
LEI
1 - 2
STM
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
STM
1 - 0
ALL
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 1
STM
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
STM
1 - 0
RIT
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ASK
2 - 1
STM
37%
24%
39%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Oberwart / Rotenturm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ALL
1 - 4
OBR
10%
15%
76%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
OBR
6 - 1
RIT
46%
22%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 4
OBR
25%
21%
54%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
OBR
1 - 1
KLI
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HOR
0 - 4
OBR
25%
20%
54%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |