St. Margarethen vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
4º
14º
6º
17
11º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PIN
2 - 2
STM
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STM
1 - 0
BAS
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
4 - 1
STM
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
STM
0 - 3
PAR
14%
17%
69%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
LEI
3 - 0
STM
53%
21%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
SPG
49%
22%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SVS
2 - 1
MAR
14%
18%
67%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
USV
38%
22%
40%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ASK
0 - 5
MAR
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
KLI
0 - 0
MAR
76%
14%
10%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |