St. Margarethen vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 1
STM
45%
22%
33%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
NEU
2 - 3
STM
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
STM
2 - 0
PUR
32%
25%
43%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
STI
4 - 2
STM
57%
22%
21%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
STM
0 - 4
JEN
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
PUR
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
STI
0 - 2
MAR
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 2
JEN
66%
19%
16%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
MAR
40%
24%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 2
KLI
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |