St. Margarethen vs Horitschon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
40.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
4º
14º
6º
52
4º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
STM
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
STM
2 - 1
LEI
24%
21%
55%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RIT
2 - 0
STM
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
STM
2 - 3
ASV
10%
16%
73%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 7
STM
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 0
SPG
77%
13%
10%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
1 - 5
HOR
16%
17%
68%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HOR
5 - 0
USV
59%
19%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
ASK
10 - 2
HOR
22%
20%
57%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
DRA
7 - 1
HOR
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |