St. Margarethen vs Horitschon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
16º
7º
39
9º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
70% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
72.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
DEU
3 - 0
STM
67%
19%
15%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
STM
0 - 2
ASV
11%
18%
71%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
ASV
4 - 0
STM
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
STM
4 - 2
PIN
20%
21%
58%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
HOR
2 - 2
STM
51%
22%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
2 - 1
HOR
36%
22%
42%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
HOR
2 - 2
LEI
36%
23%
42%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
ALL
2 - 1
HOR
40%
23%
36%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
HOR
2 - 2
STM
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 1
HOR
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | -1 |