St. Margarethen vs Horitschon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
OBE
2 - 1
STM
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
STM
1 - 1
DRA
36%
22%
42%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
STM
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
STM
4 - 0
STG
54%
22%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
STM
4 - 3
EBE
58%
20%
22%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
HOR
0 - 0
OBE
26%
26%
49%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
DRA
1 - 1
HOR
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HOR
0 - 2
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
STG
2 - 3
HOR
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 1
PUR
50%
24%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |