St. Margarethen vs Forchtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 1
STM
60%
22%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
STM
1 - 4
OBE
20%
24%
56%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
DRA
4 - 1
STM
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
STM
2 - 1
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
STG
0 - 1
STM
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Forchtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 4
OBE
15%
22%
63%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
DRA
4 - 3
FOR
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
MAR
34%
23%
43%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
STG
3 - 4
FOR
28%
22%
50%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 3
PUR
21%
22%
57%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |