Liguaire Niort vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
75.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liguaire Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
LES
2 - 0
LIN
77%
14%
9%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
LIN
1 - 2
TOF
33%
24%
43%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
LIN
1 - 3
MON
33%
24%
43%
|
8 | 36 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
USS
1 - 1
FON
26%
23%
51%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
FON
0 - 1
RCL
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
VOL
1 - 2
FON
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
FON
2 - 2
ASC
77%
14%
9%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SAU
1 - 1
FON
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |