St. Joseph's vs Lincoln Red Imps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
6º
4º
25
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 12 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 3 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Joseph's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LIO
1 - 4
JOS
7%
16%
77%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
SLP
7 - 0
JOS
67%
18%
14%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
JOS
0 - 4
SLP
30%
24%
47%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
LAR
0 - 1
JOS
43%
24%
34%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
JOS
0 - 0
LAR
49%
22%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lincoln Red Imps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LRI
3 - 0
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LRI
1 - 0
CEU
43%
21%
36%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
LRI
0 - 1
TOB
47%
23%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
TOB
2 - 0
LRI
39%
23%
38%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
LRI
2 - 0
SHK
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |