St. Joseph's vs College 1975 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Joseph's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CEU
0 - 1
JOS
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
JOS
3 - 2
LIO
88%
10%
3%
|
71 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
LRI
1 - 2
JOS
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
JOS
19%
23%
58%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
JOS
4 - 0
MAN
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
College 1975
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
COL
2 - 3
CEU
18%
18%
64%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 1
COL
45%
22%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
LRI
7 - 0
COL
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
COL
1 - 3
MON
24%
21%
55%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MAN
4 - 1
COL
71%
16%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |