Europa League Last 16
Global 2-5
St. Johnstone vs Željeznicar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1971 |
STJ
0 - 0
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1971 |
CLY
1 - 2
STJ
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1971 |
STJ
1 - 4
GLA
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1971 |
VAS
1 - 0
STJ
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1971 |
GRE
0 - 1
STJ
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
BOL
2 - 2
ZEL
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
ZEL
1 - 1
BOL
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
BRU
3 - 1
ZEL
80%
13%
8%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
ZEL
3 - 0
BRU
34%
24%
42%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
AND
5 - 4
ZEL
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |