Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
St. Johnstone vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
DUN
3 - 2
STJ
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 2
STJ
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
STJ
2 - 1
HAM
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
ROS
0 - 1
STJ
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
QOS
3 - 1
STJ
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
KIL
1 - 0
STM
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
DUN
1 - 1
STM
59%
25%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
STM
0 - 1
CEL
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
FAL
4 - 0
STM
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
DUN
0 - 1
STM
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |