Europa League 1/64
Global 3-6
St. Johnstone vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
57.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
GLA
3 - 1
STJ
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
DUN
1 - 2
STJ
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1999 |
MON
3 - 0
STJ
76%
17%
8%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
STJ
1 - 1
MHE
67%
21%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
ABE
0 - 3
STJ
31%
28%
40%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
PSG
0 - 3
MON
36%
27%
38%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
MON
2 - 2
MET
68%
20%
12%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1999 |
MON
3 - 0
STJ
76%
17%
8%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
REN
2 - 1
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
MON
3 - 0
TRO
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |